The Deep Brief

Four names today, and the word that ties them together is dislocation — because the market rewarded the wrong ones and punished the one that probably deserved a closer read.

Jul 23, 2026 · 4:26 PM CT · 4:12 · The Deep Brief | Roundup | Thu, Jul 23

Four names today, and the word that ties them together is dislocation — because the market rewarded the wrong ones and punished the one that probably deserved a closer read. Start with Comcast, because a six point eight percent gap down on the open is the kind of move that gets your attention…

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Transcript

Four names today, and the word that ties them together is dislocation — because the market rewarded the wrong ones and punished the one that probably deserved a closer read.

Start with Comcast, because a six point eight percent gap down on the open is the kind of move that gets your attention whether you own it or not. The number that matters here is not the earnings per share growth of twenty-four point nine percent — that is real, and it is good. The number that matters is one point four percent revenue growth. When a business with the infrastructure footprint of Comcast is growing the top line at one point four percent, the earnings growth story is a cost and buyback story, not a business momentum story. And here is the part that keeps me up: broadband penetration in legacy cable markets has nowhere left to go but down, streaming alternatives are taking the marginal subscriber, and a four point three price-to-earnings multiple tells you the market already knows the terminal value conversation is not pretty. The Street looked at flat-to-declining video subscribers one too many times, and this print was apparently one too many. Cheap can get cheaper when the moat is draining.

Now move to the names that actually caught a bid. Blackstone gapped up one point four percent, and the number I want you to hold onto is that forty-nine price-to-earnings multiple sitting next to fifteen point two percent revenue growth. That is a steep price for an alternative asset manager in an environment where realizations are still grinding. The market is paying for the fundraising pipeline and the dry powder narrative — whether the deployment environment actually opens up is the question that full teardown will answer.

Aon was the quietest mover on the day, up one percent, but do not sleep on a fifty-five point three percent earnings per share growth rate sitting next to six point nine percent revenue growth. That spread between top-line and bottom-line growth is either an operational excellence story or a one-time story, and in my experience it is almost never entirely one thing. With a nineteen price-to-earnings multiple and margins at twenty-two point five percent, someone in that filing knows exactly which levers got pulled. I want to find those levers.

Ameriprise slipped one point three percent despite thirty-six point eight percent earnings per share growth, which sounds like the market being irrational until you notice the six point eight percent revenue growth and a twelve point two price-to-earnings multiple that suggests expectations were already dialed in. Wealth management flows and fee rate compression are the story under that number — not dramatic, but worth tracking.

Coming up on full teardowns: Comcast gets the table, because a sub-five price-to-earnings on a legacy infrastructure giant with a buyback propping up earnings per share is either the value trade of the cycle or a value trap with great lobbying. And Blackstone, because forty-nine times earnings on an alternatives manager in this rate environment is a thesis that needs to be stress-tested out loud.

That is the menu. The numbers were always there — most people just do not look. See you at the next filing.

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AI generated. Not financial advice.